Key events
Preamble
A Six Nations that began in January with images of captains in the Colosseum ends – for Italy and Ireland – in Rome. And it’s two sets of battle-worn gladiators who face off. Ireland completed the triple crown but are smarting from that 42-27 defeat in Dublin by France, while Italy also started positively – battling against Scotland, seeing off Wales – but have shipped 120 total points in their last two games.
Irish hopes of a historic three-peat are hanging by a thread – but they are not altogether dashed. Which brings us to every fan’s favourite final-round championship chat: permutations! Let’s not drill too deep or else we’ll end up on how, mathematically at least, Scotland can still triumph (it involves thumping France by 52 points in Paris, among other things).
Realistically, Ireland have to get a bonus-point victory here, then hope England fail to beat Wales (or win but without a bonus point and end up with an inferior points difference to the Irish), then that Scotland pull off the upset and defeat France. Clear as a muddy pitch? We thought so.
It’s the longest of long shots for Ireland but after a tough week, Simon Easterby’s side will want first and foremost to remind everyone that one bad half against a fired-up France does not make them a poor rugby team. Italy for their part are only a point ahead of Wales as they aim to finish above the wooden spoon spot for a second successive championship. Their sole Six Nations win against Ireland in 25 attempts came at this stadium 12 years ago. Can they pull off an almighty upset? We find out with kick-off at 2.30pm GMT.